CBN Forecasts Negative Economic Growth for Q2
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has predicted negative Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for the country in the second quarter (Q2) 2020 owing to COVID-19 pandemic that had affected the economy.
The CBN Governor, Godwin Emefiele, made the prediction while fielding questions from journalists after the Monetary Policy (MPC) meeting in Abuja on Thursday.
This prediction comes in line with analysts economic forecasts for the second quarter of 2020.
Vetiva, Meristem, Cowry Asset, FSDH had predicted that the GDP growth for second quarter would be negative.
Emefiele explained that the reason was the fact that Nigerian economy, just like global economy, was shut down during the month of April, May substantially and to some extent also in June.
He said with this development, he was almost certain that growth in second quarter would be in negative.
He further stated that the unfortunate situation arising from COVID-19 pandemic had led to health and economic crisis of unprecedented proportion.
According to him, the situation has affected U.S, Europe and China economies as well as developing countries.
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“Luckily and pleasantly surprised, Nigeria first quarter growth in 2020 came down from 2.5 per cent from fourth quarter 2019 to 1.87 per cent.
“Understandably by the virtue of the fact, we began to really lockdown our economy in the month of March because we were already seeing some interesting growth trajectory in the month of January and February following the recovery that we have made in 2019.
“So, we saw what I could call a somehow pleasant GDP of 1.87 per cent” he added.
The governor noted Nigeria was part of global economy and if the country was able to manage this impact as quickly as possible, and join others in getting out of the difficult situation, the better for the nation.
He, however, emphasised the need to work together towards achieving vibrant economy.
“As we begin to see the easing of the lockdown, business begin to come back alive again, we all need to move very aggressively and fast to see that corporate activities are pushed to extent where if we are lucky, third quarter growth may come out positive.
“If this is achieved, Nigeria will return to a situation where we can say we are not into recession”.
CBN Forecasts Negative Economic Growth for Q2
