OPEC+ Keeps Output as Oil Prices Drop by 18% in 2025

OPEC+ Keeps Output as Oil Prices Drop by 18% in 2025

The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies members (OPEC+) kept oil output unchanged amidst global demand and supply uncertainties.

At the meeting held on Sunday, the oil group deliberately avoided discussion of the political crises affecting several of the producer group’s members.

The meeting of eight members of OPEC+, which pumps about half the world’s oil, came after oil prices fell more than 18% in 2025—their steepest yearly drop since 2020—amid growing oversupply concerns.

Due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Russia-Ukraine war, demand and supply were dislocated significantly, causing crude oil prices fluctuations throughout the year.  Brent hovered around $60 per barrel on Friday, while the US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) settled around $57.

The eight countries will next meet on February 1, OPEC+ said. For Nigeria, after meeting its OPEC quota of 1.5 million barrels per day temporarily last year, it has since then struggled with production, despite initial reports that the country will request a higher crude output allocation.

Tensions between Saudi Arabia and the UAE flared last month over a decade-long conflict in Yemen, when a UAE-aligned group seized territory from the Saudi-backed government. The crisis triggered the biggest split in decades between the former close allies.

And on Saturday, the United States captured Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, and U.S. President Donald Trump said Washington would take control of the country until a transition to a new administration becomes possible, without saying how this would be achieved.

The eight OPEC+ members – Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Iraq, Algeria, and Oman – raised oil output targets by around 2.9 million barrels per day in 2025, equal to almost 3% of world oil demand, to regain market share.

The eight members agreed in November to pause output hikes for January, February, and March due to relatively low demand in the northern hemisphere winter.

OPEC has in the past managed to overcome many internal rifts, such as over the Iran–Iraq War, by prioritising market management over political disputes.

Yet the group is facing other crises, with Russian oil exports falling due to U.S. sanctions over its war in Ukraine, and Iran facing protests and U.S. threats of intervention.

Venezuela has the world’s largest oil reserves, bigger even than those of OPEC’s leader, Saudi Arabia, but its oil production has plummeted due to years of mismanagement and sanctions.

And that it would seek a court injunction against the decision to halt its $5 billion offshore wind project. Analysts said it is unlikely to see any meaningful boost to crude output for years, even if U.S. oil majors do invest the billions of dollars in the country that Trump promised. First Holdco Declines by 8% to N2.043trn after Re-Rating