Major Shocks Cloud Madagascar’s Macroeconomic Outlook –IMF
Major shocks cloud Madagascar macroeconomic outlook, International Monetary Fund (IMF) said after a review of the country’s economic data.
IMF said Madagascar’s spending commitments outpaced tax collection in the first half of the year; adding that the authorities are activating contingency plans to stay in line with the budget in the months ahead.
An IMF team, led by Mr. Constant Lonkeng, visited Antananarivo to assess recent economic developments and the outlook, take stock of the 2025 budget execution, discuss the contours of—and policy intentions under—the 2026 budget and gauge progress in the authorities commitments under Madagascar’s Fund-supported programs.
IMF hints that work on the 2026 budget is underway, with domestic revenue mobilization remaining the centerpiece of the authorities’ fiscal strategy, in view of the country’s large development needs.
The IMF Executive Board approved in June 2024 an Extended Credit Facility (ECF) and a Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) arrangements for Madagascar. The second reviews of the ECF and RSF were completed in July 2025.
At the end of the visit, Mr. Lonkeng said, “Major shocks this year are clouding Madagascar’s macroeconomic outlook. Recent technical difficulties in the mining sector are compounding external shocks. Inflation is on a downward path but remains elevated—headline inflation stood at 7.9 percent (y/y) in July.
“Madagascar recently hosted the Indian Ocean Commission (IOC) summit and the Southern African Development Community (SADC) summit, with some spillovers onto the economy.
“Spending commitments outpaced tax collection in the first half of the year; the authorities are activating contingency plans to stay in line with the budget in the months ahead. They have also started working on the 2026 budget, with domestic revenue mobilization remaining the centerpiece of their fiscal strategy, considering the country’s huge development needs.
“On the structural front, the authorities issued a decree operationalizing the institutional framework for the national anti-corruption strategy 2025–2030 and are reviewing the recommendations from the IMF’s governance diagnostic assessment. They have continued implementing the automatic fuel pricing mechanism monthly and are finalizing a national climate finance strategy.
“A formal assessment of Madagascar’s performance and prospects will take place in the context of the upcoming third reviews of the ECF and RSF, with the team scheduled to return to Antananarivo later this year”. # Ecobank Offers Cheap Loans to Tech Companies, Entrepreneurs
