Analysts Set First Holdco Target Price at N41.75 after Earnings Bump

Analysts Set First Holdco Target Price at N41.75 after Earnings Bump

Analysts at investment firm AAG Capital Limited have set a N41.75 target price for First Holdco Plc, reflecting more than 63% upside potential at the equities market reference price of N24.80.

First HoldCo’s unaudited Q1 2025 results showed a strong performance, with interest income rising 40.2% year-on-year to N625.3 billion, driven by the sustained high-yield environment.

Net loans and advances to customers increased by 4.95% compared to 2024, while interest expense also rose moderately by 18.6% year-on-year to N260.1 billion.

Details from the group’s unaudited financials showed that customer deposits grew by 0.6% over the same period.  Overall, net interest income climbed 61% year-on-year to N365.2 billion, up from N226.3 billion in Q1 2024.

First Holdco’s net fee and commission income grew moderately, up 22.5% year-on-year to N64.1 billion, according to details from the group’s unaudited numbers.

Analysts at AAG Capital Limited said the main drivers of the year-on-year growth were strong growth in credit-related fees, custodian fees, funds transfer & intermediation fees, and letter of credit commission & fees.

Other Income—net gains on financial instruments held at fair value through profit or loss account – recorded a sharp decline to a loss of N47.8 billion from N288.8 billion income recorded in Q1 2024, thereby impacting non-interest income.

In Q1-2025, First Holdco non-interest income dropped by 60% to N104.1 billion from N260 billion in Q1 2024. FX gains came in at N80.48 billion (from FX trading income & revaluation gains). Operating Expenses (OPEX) grew moderately, up 16% year-on-year to N245.3 billion, despite a decision to yank off merchant bank business

The year-on-year growth in operating expenses, compared with a 3.9% year-on-year decline in total operating income, led to a significant deterioration in the bank’s cost-to-income ratio.

In the period, First Holdco’s cost-to-income ratio worsened to 52.3%, a significant spike of 900 basis points above 43.3% reported in Q1 2024. Reflecting the moderated asset quality challenge, analysts highlighted that the group’s total impairment charge declined by 11.6% to N37.25 billion in Q1 2025 from N41.93 billion in Q1 2024.

The reported loan impairment charge brought the Q1 2025 annualised cost of risk to 10.8%, according to analysts at AAG Capital Limited. Overall, First Holdco pretax profit declined by 20.4% year-on-year to N186.5 billion while profit after tax declined 17.9% year-on-year to N167.4 billion in Q1 2025. #Analysts Set First Holdco Target Price at N41.75 after Earnings Bump#

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